Moving Beyond the Patriot Missile || Peter Zeihan
The U.S. is hesitant to allow Ukraine to manufacture Patriot missiles locally, partially to protect U.S. military IP, but more so because it doesn't want Ukraine to do it better. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4qtxJD0
A Post-American Alliance for the Middle East || Peter Zeihan
Pakistan, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia are entertaining a NATO-style mutual defense pact. While this alliance might not be practical at this moment, it's a much different conversation in the long run. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4fXxzA1
The Shadow Fleet Is Sinking || Peter Zeihan
The first of Russia and Iran's aging shadow fleet is sinking. The tanker is carrying ~1 million barrels of crude bound for India, but that oil is already leaking into the water off the Omani coast. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4fSbqTM
Russia Loses Its Foothold in Syria || Peter Zeihan
Russia's strongest military foothold and gateway in the Middle East is now gone. Russia has agreed to end its presence at the Latakia airport and Tartous port, as it hands over the reins to Syria's transitional government. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3UrpKKp
Is This the End of U.S. Biofuels? || Peter Zeihan
The U.S. ethanol mandate in the early aughts reshaped American agriculture by tying corn production to fuel production; this saw corn demand double, with roughly half the corn crop now tied to biofuels. So, the case for diverting large amounts of U.S. corn into fuel production is now becoming less clear. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4zapxv9
Global Energy Stressors: Can Anybody Help || Peter Zeihan
Are there any countries that might be able to ease the global energy stress? Saudi Arabia might be able to ramp up output, but Houthi attacks could take that away in an instant. Producers like Guyana, Brazil, Venezuela, Canada, and Angola can only add small, incremental volumes, but most major expansion projects are years away. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4hSheOj
Can Shale Save the World || Peter Zeihan
The U.S. shale revolution transformed global energy, but that period of explosive growth is over. Existing pipelines and export infrastructure have reached capacity, meaning future output increases will take a bit of time. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3SiKJhV
Global Energy Stressors: Europe's Oil Supply Problem || Peter Zeihan
As Europe shifts away from Russian natural gas, they have turned to LNG from Qatar to fill the void. Unfortunately, that pivot has brought on its own set of problems. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4cobyIi
Global Energy Stressors: Kazakh Oil Exports || Peter Zeihan
Global energy markets are all over the place. So, we're doing a short series on the major energy stressors across the globe and how this all is going to play out. Up first, let's look at the Ukraine War's impact on oil exports from Kazakhstan. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4pZs9bb
Why I Don't Worry About Cyberattacks (for the most part) || Peter Zeihan
Following the cyberattacks in Minnesota, many have reached out regarding cyber threats from a national security perspective. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: https://bit.ly/4h7NBIA
The Limits of China's Military Reach || Peter Zeihan
Despite China's growing military, it remains constrained by geography and dependent upon U.S. secured trade routes. Even if China manages to expand its Navy to the point where it can break through the First Island Chain, it still needs to find a way to replace the U.S.-maintained international system. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter:
Leaving the World Behind: Obama vs. Trump || Peter Zeihan
The Obama and Trump administrations have both made deals with Iran. There are some glaring differences between the two, so let's see which deal came out on top. Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihan Full Newsletter: